Predicting EV Battery Lifespan Using Machine Learning

Authors

  • N Vasavi Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Annamacharya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Kadapa, Andhra Pradesh, India.
  • A Akshith Reddy Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Annamacharya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Kadapa, Andhra Pradesh, India.
  • K Poorna Chandra Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Annamacharya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Kadapa, Andhra Pradesh, India.
  • K S S Ramakrishna Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Annamacharya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Kadapa, Andhra Pradesh, India.
  • P Prasanthi Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Annamacharya Institute of Technology and Sciences, Kadapa, Andhra Pradesh, India.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15250347

Keywords:

Electric Vehicle Batteries, Machine Learning (ML), Remaining Useful Life (RUL), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine

Abstract

The continuous advancement of electric vehicle (EV) technology has heightened the emphasis on sustainable energy storage, making lithium-ion batteries a crucial component. Ensuring battery reliability and longevity is essential for optimizing EV performance and reducing maintenance costs. This study explores the prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) for lithium-ion batteries using advanced Machine Learning (ML) models, specifically Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Accurate RUL estimation enhances battery management, prevents failures, and improves safety.A comprehensive dataset from the NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence is preprocessed, with the One-way ANOVA method applied for optimal feature selection. Data normalization techniques are employed to enhance model consistency, while hyperparameter tuning (HPT) optimizes predictive performance. Real-time factors such as temperature fluctuations and usage cycles are incorporated to analyze their impact on battery degradation. The proposed system provides deeper insights into battery aging trends, enabling proactive maintenance strategies.Model performance is evaluated using R2 score and Mean Squared Error (MSE), where the RF model achieves an R2 score of 0.83 and an MSE of 1.67, demonstrating high reliability. The results contribute to improving battery efficiency and safety through predictive modeling, facilitating better battery management in EVs. By leveraging ML-driven predictive analytics, this research supports the advancement of sustainable and cost-effective energy solutions, promoting wider EV adoption and a greener future.

References

Gao, Y., Zhang, X., Guo, B., Zhu, C., Wiedemann, J., Wang, L., & Cao, J. (2020). Health-aware multiobjective optimal charging strategy with coupled electrochemical-thermal-aging model for lithium-ion battery. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 16(5), 3417–3429. https://doi.org/10.1109/TII.2019.2949815

Peng, J., Zhou, Z., Wang, J., Wu, D., & Guo, Y. (2019). Residual remaining useful life prediction method for lithium-ion batteries in satellite with incomplete healthy historical data. IEEE Access, 7, 127788–127799. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2939480

Gabbar, H., Othman, A., & Abdussami, M. (2021). Review of battery management systems (BMS) development and industrial standards. Technologies, 9(2), 28. https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies9020028

Xing, Y., Ma, E. W. M., Tsui, K. L., & Pecht, M. (2011). Battery management systems in electric and hybrid vehicles. Energies, 4(11), 1840–1857. https://doi.org/10.3390/en4111840

Ahmed, S. T., Kumar, V. V., Singh, K. K., Singh, A., Muthukumaran, V., & Gupta, D. (2022). 6G enabled federated learning for secure IoMT resource recommendation and propagation analysis. Computers and Electrical Engineering, 102, 108210.

Ahmed, S. T., Singh, D. K., Basha, S. M., Abouel Nasr, E., Kamrani, A. K., & Aboudaif, M. K. (2021). Neural network based mental depression identification and sentiments classification technique from speech signals: A COVID-19 Focused Pandemic Study. Frontiers in public health, 9, 781827.

Ahmed, S. T., Vinoth Kumar, V., Mahesh, T. R., Narasimha Prasad, L. V., Velmurugan, A. K., Muthukumaran, V., & Niveditha, V. R. (2024). FedOPT: federated learning-based heterogeneous resource recommendation and optimization for edge computing. Soft Computing, 1-12.

Fathima, A. S., Basha, S. M., Ahmed, S. T., Khan, S. B., Asiri, F., Basheer, S., & Shukla, M. (2025). Empowering consumer healthcare through sensor-rich devices using federated learning for secure resource recommendation. IEEE Transactions on Consumer Electronics

Fathima, A. S., Basha, S. M., Ahmed, S. T., Mathivanan, S. K., Rajendran, S., Mallik, S., & Zhao, Z. (2023). Federated learning based futuristic biomedical big-data analysis and standardization. Plos one, 18(10), e0291631.

Fathima, A. S., Reema, S., & Ahmed, S. T. (2023, December). ANN based fake profile detection and categorization using premetric paradigms on instagram. In 2023 Innovations in Power and Advanced Computing Technologies (i-PACT) (pp. 1-6). IEEE

Guha, A., & Patra, A. (2018). Online estimation of the electrochemical impedance spectrum and remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries. IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement, 67(8), 1836–1849. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIM.2018.2803202

Hu, X., Xu, L., Lin, X., & Pecht, M. (2020). Battery lifetime prognostics. Joule, 4(2), 310–346. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2019.11.018

Jamshidi, M. B., & Rostami, S. (2017). A dynamic artificial neural network approach to estimate thermal behaviors of Li-ion batteries. In Proceedings of the IEEE 2nd International Conference on Automatic Control and Intelligent Systems (I2CACIS) (Vol. 7, pp. 116–121). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/I2CACIS.2017.8239036

Jamshidi, M. B., Alibeigi, N., Lalbakhsh, A., & Roshani, S. (2019). An ANFIS approach to modeling a small satellite power source of NASA. In Proceedings of the IEEE 16th International Conference on Networking, Sensing and Control (ICNSC) (pp. 459–464). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICNSC.2019.8743159

Jamshidi, M. B., Jamshidi, M., & Rostami, S. (2017). An intelligent approach for nonlinear system identification of a Li-ion battery. In Proceedings of the IEEE 2nd International Conference on Automatic Control and Intelligent Systems (I2CACIS) (pp. 98–103). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/I2CACIS.2017.8239021

Kumar, A., Satheesha, T. Y., Salvador, B. B. L., Mithileysh, S., & Ahmed, S. T. (2023). Augmented Intelligence enabled Deep Neural Networking (AuDNN) framework for skin cancer classification and prediction using multi-dimensional datasets on industrial IoT standards. Microprocessors and Microsystems, 97, 104755.

Lipu, M. S. H., Hannan, M. A., Hussain, A., Hoque, M. M., Ker, P. J., Saad, M. H. M., & Ayob, A. (2018). A review of state of health and remaining useful life estimation methods for lithium-ion battery in electric vehicles: Challenges and recommendations. Journal of Cleaner Production, 205, 115–133. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.09.077

Liu, K., Li, Y., Hu, X., Lucu, M., & Widanage, W. D. (2020). Gaussian process regression with automatic relevance determination kernel for calendar aging prediction of lithium-ion batteries. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 16(6), 3767–3777. https://doi.org/10.1109/TII.2019.2952906

Lui, Y. H., Li, M., Downey, A., Shen, S., Nemani, V. P., Ye, H., VanElzen, C., Jain, G., Hu, S., Laflamme, S., & Hu, C. (2021). Physics-based prognostics of implantable-grade lithium-ion battery for remaining useful life prediction. Journal of Power Sources, 485, Article 229327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpowsour.2020.229327

Ma, J., Xu, S., Shang, P., Ding, Y., Qin, W., Cheng, Y., Lu, C., Su, Y., Chong, J., Jin, H., & Lin, Y. (2020). Cycle life test optimization for different Li-ion power battery formulations using a hybrid remaining-useful-life prediction method. Applied Energy, 262, Article 114490. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.114490

She, C., Wang, Z., Sun, F., Liu, P., & Zhang, L. (2020). Battery aging assessment for real-world electric buses based on incremental capacity analysis and radial basis function neural network. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 16(5), 3345–3354. https://doi.org/10.1109/TII.2019.2949264

Shi, Y., Xu, B., Tan, Y., Kirschen, D., & Zhang, B. (2019). Optimal battery control under cycle aging mechanisms in pay for performance settings. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 64(6), 2324–2339. https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2018.2867720

Wang, Y., Tian, J., Sun, Z., Wang, L., Xu, R., Li, M., & Chen, Z. (2020). A comprehensive review of battery modeling and state estimation approaches for advanced battery management systems. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 131, Article 110015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110015

Xiong, R., Li, L., & Tian, J. (2018). Towards a smarter battery management system: A critical review on battery state of health monitoring methods. Journal of Power Sources, 405, 18–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpowsour.2018.10.019

Xu, B., Zhao, J., Zheng, T., Litvinov, E., & Kirschen, D. S. (2018). Factoring the cycle aging cost of batteries participating in electricity markets. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 33(2), 2248–2259. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2017.2749260

Zhang, C., Wang, Y., Gao, Y., Wang, F., Mu, B., & Zhang, W. (2019). Accelerated fading recognition for lithium-ion batteries with nickel-cobalt-manganese cathode using quantile regression method. Applied Energy, 256, Article 113841. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113841

Downloads

Published

2025-04-20

How to Cite

N Vasavi, A Akshith Reddy, K Poorna Chandra, K S S Ramakrishna, & P Prasanthi. (2025). Predicting EV Battery Lifespan Using Machine Learning. International Journal of Computational Learning and Intelligence, An Open AI Journal, 4(4), 619–632. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15250347

Issue

Section

RESEARCH ARTICLES